October 2025 marks a pragmatic reset for housing delivery at a time when the system needs it most.
London has just announced emergency measures to accelerate viable schemes. The affordable housing threshold drops from 35% to 20%, timelines are shortened, and there's a new fast-track route for developments ready to start. These interventions stabilise supply while deeper reforms take root.
The urgency is clear. Planning approvals have hit record lows, with more than a third of boroughs recording zero construction starts in Q1 this year.
Even approved schemes routinely stall at Gateway 2 under the Building Safety Regulator. Front-end stimulus only delivers homes when approvals are predictable and Gateway 2 assessments proportionate. Without these, everything stalls.
This systemic friction is reshaping developer strategy. With traditional routes increasingly blocked, Grey Belt appeals are surging as the practical alternative, with success rates climbing sharply in recent months.
Local planning authorities with significant Grey Belt land and poor housing delivery records now face a strategic reckoning. Years of blanket refusals have created a backlog of developable sites precisely where housing pressure is most acute.
Where land genuinely meets Grey Belt criteria, developers now have a credible pathway: landscape-led proposals delivering exceptional public benefits and biodiversity gains are winning appeals at unprecedented rates, bypassing local gridlock while plan-making catches up.
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Looking across the sector, October's story is one of a system straining against its constraints. Emergency measures attempt to jumpstart construction. The permissions pipeline needs rebuilding. Safety gateways must balance rigour with practicality.
And through it all, Grey Belt appeals have emerged as the unexpected success story: the mechanism actually delivering homes while the broader system recalibrates. Yet the fundamental questions remain stark.
In an era of declining permissions, collapsing viability, and permanent delays, does housebuilding, as we've historically understood it, have a future?
What essential functions do major housebuilders serve that cannot be replaced by smaller, nimbler operators?
And why does the community view developers with such scepticism when the housing crisis demands their participation?